Saturday 16 December 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
47%
27%
26%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Lille | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Dijon / Lille | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
7.1
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
12.8
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.3
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-2
Lille
Jan 2020
Dijon
1-0
Lille
Nov 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Mar 2019
Lille
1-0
Dijon
Oct 2018
Dijon
1-2
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.