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Saturday 18 November 2017, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
49% 27% 24%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
23.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 48.8% 2.05
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Estac Troyes 23.9% 4.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.32
Over 1.5 72.3% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.7% 3.61
Over 2.5 46.0% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.04
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.00
No 50.1% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 76.1% 1.31
Dijon / Estac Troyes 72.7% 1.37
Draw / Estac Troyes 51.2% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
7.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
11.6
13.0
6.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.3
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.8
4.7
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.8
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Estac Troyes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.