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Saturday 21 October 2017, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
35% 27% 37%
Home win
35.5%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
37.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 35.5% 2.82
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Dijon 37.5% 2.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.82
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.2% 1.78
No 43.8% 2.28

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 62.5% 1.60
Metz / Dijon 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Dijon 64.5% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
8.3
6.3
2.9
1.0
0.3
1
8.0
12.9
8.4
3.9
1.4
0.4
2
5.9
8.2
5.7
2.6
0.9
0.3
3
2.6
3.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.