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Sunday 17 September 2017, 18:00 Stade Raymond Kopa Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
64% 22% 14%
Home win
63.9%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 63.9% 1.57
Draw 22.4% 4.46
Metz 13.7% 7.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.53
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.09
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.53
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.38
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Angers / Metz 77.6% 1.29
Draw / Metz 36.1% 2.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
4.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.4
10.6
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.5
9.6
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
8.0
6.2
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.8
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.