Sunday 20 August 2017, 18:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
61%
24%
15%
Home win
61.4%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
14.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Angers | 14.8% | 6.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Marseille / Angers | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Angers | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
5.3
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
11.2
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
9.5
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Angers
2-5
Marseille
Oct 2025
Marseille
2-2
Angers
Feb 2025
Angers
0-2
Marseille
Oct 2024
Marseille
1-1
Angers
May 2023
Marseille
3-1
Angers
Sep 2022
Angers
0-3
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.