Sunday 7 May 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
39%
29%
32%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
31.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Nice | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Marseille / Nice | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
9.3
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
13.7
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.4
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
1-1
Nice
Nov 2025
Nice
1-5
Marseille
Jan 2025
Nice
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Apr 2024
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Oct 2023
Nice
1-0
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.