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Friday 21 April 2017, 21:45 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
28% 32% 40%
Home win
28.3%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
39.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 28.3% 3.53
Draw 31.9% 3.14
Marseille 39.8% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.21
Over 1.5 61.2% 1.64
Under 1.5 38.8% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.3% 3.00
Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.70
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.89
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.1% 2.43
No 58.9% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 60.2% 1.66
Nancy / Marseille 68.1% 1.47
Draw / Marseille 71.7% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
13.9
8.3
3.1
0.9
0.2
1
11.0
14.2
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
5.4
6.1
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.6
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.