Friday 10 March 2017, 21:45
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
58%
25%
17%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
17.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Angers | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Marseille / Angers | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Angers | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
11.7
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.7
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Angers
2-5
Marseille
Oct 2025
Marseille
2-2
Angers
Feb 2025
Angers
0-2
Marseille
Oct 2024
Marseille
1-1
Angers
May 2023
Marseille
3-1
Angers
Sep 2022
Angers
0-3
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.