Saturday 18 February 2017, 18:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
51%
29%
20%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
19.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Rennes | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.7% | 5.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Marseille / Rennes | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
8.2
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
13.0
|
4.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
8.5
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Marseille
3-1
Rennes
Aug 2025
Rennes
1-0
Marseille
May 2025
Marseille
4-2
Rennes
Jan 2025
Rennes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Dec 2023
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.