Friday 3 February 2017, 21:45
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
30%
28%
42%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
42.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Marseille | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Metz / Marseille | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
9.9
|
7.6
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
13.2
|
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
7.3
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
3-1
Metz
Oct 2025
Metz
0-3
Marseille
Feb 2024
Marseille
1-1
Metz
Aug 2023
Metz
2-2
Marseille
Feb 2022
Metz
1-2
Marseille
Nov 2021
Marseille
0-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.