Friday 27 January 2017, 21:45
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
55%
25%
20%
Home win
54.6%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Marseille / Montpellier | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
6.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
12.1
|
5.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.7
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
5.5
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Marseille
5-1
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-5
Marseille
Feb 2024
Marseille
4-1
Montpellier
Dec 2023
Montpellier
1-1
Marseille
Mar 2023
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.