Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
30%
28%
42%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
41.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.3% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Nantes / Montpellier | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
9.9
|
7.5
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
13.2
|
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
7.3
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Nantes
3-0
Montpellier
Aug 2024
Montpellier
1-3
Nantes
Apr 2024
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Oct 2023
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
May 2023
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier
Jan 2023
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.