Saturday 26 November 2016, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
43%
32%
24%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
24.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Lille | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.2% | 7.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| No | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Nantes / Lille | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
10.6
|
4.5
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
13.8
|
5.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
7.5
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
0-2
Lille
Mar 2025
Nantes
1-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
1-1
Nantes
May 2024
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Aug 2023
Lille
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.