Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
22%
30%
48%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
48.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Nantes / Toulouse | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
15.4
|
10.5
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
13.4
|
8.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
5.0
|
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2025
Toulouse
2-2
Nantes
Apr 2025
Nantes
0-0
Toulouse
Aug 2024
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Feb 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
May 2023
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.