Saturday 1 October 2016, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
17%
24%
59%
Home win
16.7%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
59.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Caen / Toulouse | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
11.9
|
11.4
|
6.9
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.4
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
4.6
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Toulouse
1-1
Caen
Dec 2018
Caen
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2018
Caen
0-0
Toulouse
Dec 2017
Toulouse
2-0
Caen
May 2017
Toulouse
0-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.