Saturday 24 September 2016, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
86%
9%
5%
Home win
86.4%
Draw
8.5%
Away win
5.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.5% | 11.72 | — | — |
| Caen | 5.1% | 19.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.1% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.9% | 111.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.1% | 24.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 13.1% | 7.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Caen | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
2.7
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
5.7
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
7.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
7.2
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
5.5
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Caen
0-1
Bordeaux
Nov 2018
Bordeaux
0-0
Caen
Jan 2018
Bordeaux
0-2
Caen
Nov 2017
Caen
1-0
Bordeaux
Feb 2017
Caen
0-4
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.