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Sunday 11 September 2016, 18:00 Roazhon Park Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
65% 21% 14%
Home win
65.2%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
13.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes 65.2% 1.53
Draw 21.3% 4.71
Caen 13.5% 7.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.99
Over 1.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.4% 4.67
Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.3% 3.09
Under 3.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.13
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.4% 2.02
No 50.6% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes / Draw 86.5% 1.16
Rennes / Caen 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Caen 34.8% 2.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
4.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
11.0
10.1
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
9.8
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.1
6.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
4.1
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: Caen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.