Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
34%
32%
33%
Home win
34.2%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
33.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Rennes | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.3% | 7.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Caen / Rennes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.3
|
12.6
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
14.3
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Rennes
3-1
Caen
Nov 2018
Caen
1-2
Rennes
Feb 2018
Caen
2-2
Rennes
Sep 2017
Rennes
0-1
Caen
Sep 2016
Rennes
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.