Saturday 15 April 2017, 21:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
44%
28%
28%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
28.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Caen | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Metz / Caen | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
7.9
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
13.2
|
6.9
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.1
|
9.0
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
4.3
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.