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Sunday 2 April 2017, 18:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
48% 24% 28%
Home win
47.7%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
27.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 47.7% 2.10
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Caen 27.9% 3.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.61
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.64
Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.9% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.7% 1.62
No 38.3% 2.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 72.1% 1.39
Lorient / Caen 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Caen 52.3% 1.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
5.3
3.9
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
7.3
11.2
7.0
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.1
9.4
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
4.2
5.6
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
1.9
2.5
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.7
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Caen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.