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Sunday 12 March 2017, 22:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
11% 19% 70%
Home win
11.0%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
70.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 11.0% 9.12
Draw 18.8% 5.33
Paris Saint Germain 70.3% 1.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.15
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 4.5 80.6% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.4% 2.02
No 50.6% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 29.7% 3.37
Lorient / Paris Saint Germain 81.2% 1.23
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 89.0% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
10.2
12.1
9.1
5.2
2.3
1
3.2
8.9
9.5
7.2
4.1
1.9
2
1.5
3.3
3.8
2.8
1.6
0.7
3
0.4
0.9
1.0
0.7
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.