Sunday 12 February 2017, 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
65%
23%
12%
Home win
65.2%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
12.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Lorient | 12.0% | 8.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Lorient | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
10.5
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
9.1
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
5.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lorient
6-2
Saint Etienne
Aug 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lorient
Feb 2021
Lorient
2-1
Saint Etienne
Aug 2020
Saint Etienne
2-0
Lorient
Dec 2016
Lorient
2-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.