Friday 13 January 2017, 21:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
34%
35%
31%
Home win
33.6%
Draw
34.9%
Away win
31.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.2% | 9.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.4% | 29.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| No | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Lille / Saint Etienne | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.0
|
14.0
|
6.4
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.7
|
14.1
|
5.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Lille
4-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2024
Saint Etienne
1-0
Lille
Mar 2022
Lille
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lille
May 2021
Lille
0-0
Saint Etienne
Nov 2020
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.