Sunday 11 December 2016, 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
39%
35%
26%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
35.0%
Away win
25.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.6% | 10.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.1% | 32.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Guingamp | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.7
|
12.4
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.8
|
13.7
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Guingamp
0-1
Saint Etienne
Aug 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Guingamp
Mar 2018
Saint Etienne
2-0
Guingamp
Dec 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Saint Etienne
Apr 2017
Guingamp
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.