Saturday 3 December 2016, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
68%
23%
9%
Home win
67.8%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
9.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Nantes | 9.5% | 10.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.6% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.3% | 12.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| No | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Nantes | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.4
|
9.8
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.0
|
8.2
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Nantes
Nov 2018
Nantes
5-0
Guingamp
Jan 2018
Guingamp
0-3
Nantes
Oct 2017
Nantes
2-1
Guingamp
May 2017
Nantes
4-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.