Saturday 26 November 2016, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
25%
29%
46%
Home win
25.3%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
45.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.5% | 9.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.7% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.8% | 11.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Caen / Guingamp | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.5
|
12.6
|
9.2
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
13.5
|
8.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
6.1
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Caen
Oct 2018
Caen
0-0
Guingamp
Feb 2018
Guingamp
0-0
Caen
Dec 2017
Caen
0-0
Guingamp
Feb 2017
Guingamp
0-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.