Saturday 20 October 2018, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
38%
30%
32%
Home win
37.5%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
32.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Caen / Guingamp | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
10.4
|
6.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
14.1
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
7.9
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Guingamp
0-0
Caen
Feb 2018
Guingamp
0-0
Caen
Dec 2017
Caen
0-0
Guingamp
Feb 2017
Guingamp
0-1
Caen
Nov 2016
Caen
1-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.