Saturday 29 September 2018, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
31%
32%
36%
Home win
31.5%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
36.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Amiens | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.2% | 19.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Caen / Amiens | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.4
|
13.3
|
7.4
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
14.3
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
6.5
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.