Saturday 22 September 2018, 21:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
53%
29%
18%
Home win
53.1%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Caen | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.1% | 16.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Caen | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.1
|
7.9
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
12.7
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
8.4
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
0-5
Saint Etienne
Jan 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Caen
Aug 2017
Caen
0-1
Saint Etienne
Feb 2017
Saint Etienne
0-1
Caen
Oct 2016
Caen
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.