Saturday 27 January 2018, 21:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
48%
31%
21%
Home win
47.5%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
21.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Caen | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.3% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.3% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Caen | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.3
|
9.4
|
3.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
13.4
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
7.9
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
0-5
Saint Etienne
Sep 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Caen
Aug 2017
Caen
0-1
Saint Etienne
Feb 2017
Saint Etienne
0-1
Caen
Oct 2016
Caen
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.