Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
62%
23%
15%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
14.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Nice / Saint Etienne | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
11.0
|
4.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nice
4-1
Saint Etienne
May 2026
Saint Etienne
0-0
Nice
Mar 2025
Saint Etienne
1-3
Nice
Sep 2024
Nice
8-0
Saint Etienne
May 2022
Nice
4-2
Saint Etienne
Sep 2021
Saint Etienne
0-3
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.