Saturday 13 January 2018, 21:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
53%
28%
19%
Home win
53.3%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
18.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Amiens | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.8% | 8.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Nice / Amiens | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.8
|
7.5
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
12.7
|
4.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
8.8
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.