Wednesday 20 December 2017, 21:50
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
33%
29%
38%
Home win
33.0%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
38.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Nice | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.8% | 10.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Lille / Nice | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
10.5
|
7.1
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
13.8
|
8.2
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
7.5
|
4.7
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.9
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Lille
0-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
2-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
2-1
Nice
Nov 2024
Nice
2-2
Lille
May 2024
Lille
2-2
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
1-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.