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Sunday 17 December 2017, 18:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
50% 26% 24%
Home win
50.4%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
24.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 50.4% 1.98
Draw 25.6% 3.91
Bordeaux 24.0% 4.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.07
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.38
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.36
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.8% 6.77
Under 4.5 85.2% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.7% 1.83
No 45.3% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 76.0% 1.32
Nice / Bordeaux 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Bordeaux 49.6% 2.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
6.1
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
9.8
12.2
6.3
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.6
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.9
5.4
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.1
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.