Sunday 19 November 2017, 22:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
40%
27%
33%
Home win
40.1%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
33.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Marseille | 33.4% | 3.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Marseille | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
7.3
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
12.5
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
8.8
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Bordeaux
0-1
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
2-2
Bordeaux
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Oct 2020
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
Feb 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Dec 2019
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.