Sunday 1 October 2017, 22:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
52%
26%
22%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
22.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Marseille | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Nice / Marseille | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
6.2
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
12.2
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.7
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
1-1
Nice
Nov 2025
Nice
1-5
Marseille
Jan 2025
Nice
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Apr 2024
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Oct 2023
Nice
1-0
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.