Sunday 10 September 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
59%
25%
16%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Rennes | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Marseille / Rennes | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
11.8
|
4.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.2
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Marseille
3-1
Rennes
Aug 2025
Rennes
1-0
Marseille
May 2025
Marseille
4-2
Rennes
Jan 2025
Rennes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Dec 2023
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.