Sunday 6 August 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
64%
22%
14%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
14.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Dijon | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.0% | 6.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Marseille / Dijon | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
10.4
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
6.6
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Jan 2021
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Sep 2019
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Feb 2019
Dijon
1-2
Marseille
Nov 2018
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Dijon
1-3
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.