Saturday 31 March 2018, 18:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
26%
23%
51%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
50.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Marseille | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Dijon / Marseille | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
6.6
|
7.0
|
4.5
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.3
|
9.5
|
6.1
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
6.6
|
6.4
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
3.0
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Jan 2021
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Sep 2019
Dijon
0-0
Marseille
Feb 2019
Dijon
1-2
Marseille
Nov 2018
Marseille
2-0
Dijon
Aug 2017
Marseille
3-0
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.