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Sunday 25 February 2018, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
3–0
HT 2–0
Marseille
71% 17% 12%
Home win
71.0%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
11.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 71.0% 1.41 — —
Draw 17.5% 5.73 — —
Marseille 11.6% 8.66 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.69 — —
Over 1.5 85.9% 1.16 — —
Under 1.5 14.1% 7.10 — —
Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51 — —
Under 2.5 33.7% 2.97 — —
Over 3.5 44.5% 2.25 — —
Under 3.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Over 4.5 25.8% 3.87 — —
Under 4.5 74.2% 1.35 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.8% 1.79 — —
No 44.2% 2.26 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 88.4% 1.13 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Marseille 82.5% 1.21 — —
Draw / Marseille 29.0% 3.45 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
2.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
7.7
8.0
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
2
10.2
9.4
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.4
7.8
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
4
5.3
4.9
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
2.6
2.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
L W W W W
Marseille
W D W D W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Marseille Sep 2025 Marseille 1-0 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Marseille Oct 2024 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2024 Marseille 0-2 Paris Saint Germain Sep 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Marseille

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.