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Saturday 27 January 2018, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
4–0
HT 2–0
Montpellier
82% 13% 5%
Home win
81.7%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
5.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 81.7% 1.22 — —
Draw 13.0% 7.68 — —
Montpellier 5.2% 19.07 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.59 — —
Over 1.5 84.4% 1.18 — —
Under 1.5 15.6% 6.41 — —
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.56 — —
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77 — —
Over 3.5 41.8% 2.39 — —
Under 3.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.24 — —
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41 — —
No 58.5% 1.71 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 94.8% 1.06 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Montpellier 87.0% 1.15 — —
Draw / Montpellier 18.3% 5.48 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.7
6.2
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
13.7
7.9
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.4
7.2
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
8.4
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
4.5
2.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
W W W W L
Montpellier
L W D D W

Head to head

May 2025 Montpellier 1-4 Paris Saint Germain Aug 2024 Paris Saint Germain 6-0 Montpellier Mar 2024 Montpellier 2-6 Paris Saint Germain Nov 2023 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Montpellier Feb 2023 Montpellier 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Aug 2022 Paris Saint Germain 5-2 Montpellier

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.