Wednesday 17 January 2018, 20:00
Stade de la Licorne
Full time
39%
35%
27%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
34.5%
Away win
26.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.4% | 9.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.4% | 29.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| No | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Amiens / Montpellier | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.8
|
12.5
|
5.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
13.9
|
5.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
6.5
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Amiens
1-2
Montpellier
Nov 2019
Montpellier
4-2
Amiens
May 2019
Montpellier
1-1
Amiens
Aug 2018
Amiens
1-2
Montpellier
Nov 2017
Montpellier
1-1
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.