Wednesday 20 December 2017, 21:50
Stade de la Licorne
Full time
43%
33%
24%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
23.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Nantes | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.7% | 8.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 24.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| No | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Amiens / Nantes | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.5
|
10.9
|
4.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.7
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2019
Amiens
1-2
Nantes
Apr 2019
Nantes
3-2
Amiens
Oct 2018
Amiens
1-2
Nantes
Feb 2018
Nantes
0-1
Amiens
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.