Saturday 24 February 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
46%
32%
22%
Home win
46.2%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
21.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Amiens | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.3% | 6.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Nantes / Amiens | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.3
|
9.9
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.5
|
4.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
7.6
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2019
Amiens
1-2
Nantes
Apr 2019
Nantes
3-2
Amiens
Oct 2018
Amiens
1-2
Nantes
Dec 2017
Amiens
0-1
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.