Saturday 10 February 2018, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
51%
30%
19%
Home win
51.4%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
18.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Amiens | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.5% | 7.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.3% | 6.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.8% | 17.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Amiens | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.5
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.5
|
12.9
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
8.2
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2019
Amiens
1-3
Bordeaux
Mar 2019
Amiens
0-0
Bordeaux
Dec 2018
Bordeaux
1-1
Amiens
Oct 2017
Amiens
1-0
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.