Saturday 27 October 2018, 21:00
Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne
Full time
42%
32%
26%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Nantes | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.4% | 18.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiens / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Amiens / Nantes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.1
|
10.5
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.7
|
14.0
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
7.7
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2019
Amiens
1-2
Nantes
Apr 2019
Nantes
3-2
Amiens
Feb 2018
Nantes
0-1
Amiens
Dec 2017
Amiens
0-1
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.