Saturday 29 September 2018, 21:00
Groupama Stadium
Full time
70%
19%
11%
Home win
69.9%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
11.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Nantes | 11.1% | 8.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Lyon / Nantes | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
9.0
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.6
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
7.1
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nantes
0-1
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
3-0
Nantes
Jan 2025
Nantes
1-1
Lyon
Oct 2024
Lyon
2-0
Nantes
Apr 2024
Nantes
1-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
1-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.