Skip to content
Tuesday 25 September 2018, 20:00 Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
33% 30% 36%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
36.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 33.5% 2.99
Draw 30.5% 3.28
Nice 36.0% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.66
Over 1.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.7% 5.35
Under 3.5 81.3% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.18
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.18
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 64.0% 1.56
Nantes / Nice 69.5% 1.44
Draw / Nice 66.5% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
11.5
7.0
2.7
0.8
0.2
1
10.9
14.2
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
6.4
7.3
4.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
2.3
2.6
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.