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Friday 14 September 2018, 20:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
45% 29% 26%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 44.9% 2.23
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Rennes 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.61
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.18
Over 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.79
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.30
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 73.9% 1.35
Nice / Rennes 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Rennes 55.1% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
8.6
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.4
13.6
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.9
8.7
4.3
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
4.1
4.0
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.