Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
61%
21%
18%
Home win
61.0%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
18.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Dijon | 18.0% | 5.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Nice / Dijon | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
3.6
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
9.6
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.8
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Dijon
2-0
Nice
Nov 2020
Nice
1-3
Dijon
Sep 2019
Nice
2-1
Dijon
Mar 2019
Dijon
0-1
Nice
Feb 2018
Dijon
3-2
Nice
Nov 2017
Nice
1-0
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.